Optimistic-Report
0xdb6e5ead5ab09f40affde9bfa3dde9696f6cb800
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$136.36
Total PnL
$-7.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$86.96
$66.96
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$20.00
$11.00
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.39
$8.39
- DUNE 3
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
45 shares @ 23.3¢·now 11.1¢·exp Dec 20, 2026$4.97
$-5.53
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.54
$-1.46
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
140 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?$9.00Apr 12, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.00Apr 12, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.17Mar 4, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$4.00Feb 19, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$2.20Feb 9, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.40Feb 9, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.50Feb 8, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?$1.00Feb 6, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06?$1.40Feb 6, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpen Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Luca Nardi$2.40Feb 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpen Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea$2.80Feb 6, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$1.08Feb 6, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$10.60Feb 4, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.00Feb 3, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?$3.00Feb 2, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye release BULLY by January 30?$10.00Feb 2, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$20.15Feb 2, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?$1.65Feb 2, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny win 3 Grammys?$2.72Jan 31, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.