Outlying-Receiver
0xdb861c1cf148338119e2b481f13572b938b41dc5
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$-20.2K
Realised
$-2.8K
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
950 shares @ 58.8¢·now 95.3¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$905.09
$346.92
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
878 shares @ 38.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$759.46
$425.82
- NO
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
885 shares @ 70.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$668.17
$48.67
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
580 shares @ 76.4¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$562.89
$119.69
- YES
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
279 shares @ 56.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$261.88
$105.88
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
225 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$222.65
$35.89
- NO
Will Verona be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 34.6¢·exp May 28, 2026$9.69
$4.65
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?
10000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
8184 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
6371 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-3.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$47.716h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$4.906h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$14.006h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$7.936h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$9.456h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$74.996h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$34.346h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$4.276h ago
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$197.806h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$4.518d ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$306.458d ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$22.678d ago
- REWARD$0.1811d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$380.0011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$63.2011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$43.3311d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$55.0011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$29.4311d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$23.7911d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$232.9211d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $369.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 18d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.