Muted-Politician
0xdb90d39170fffdafaba515d9cc61636a846c8641
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$587.33
Total PnL
$58.50
Realised
$0.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
440 shares @ 28.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$439.71
$313.71
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
446 shares @ 55.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.88
$-201.63
- NO
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$24.69
$4.69
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
21 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$21.50
$1.50
- NO
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.28
$1.28
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$13.16
$8.16
- YES
Will Iran strike Qatar in March?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- ISRAEL
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.68
$-1.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Israel in March?$5.13Mar 1, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$100.00Mar 1, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Iran next?$52.66Mar 1, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?$53.76Mar 1, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$26.00Mar 1, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?$20.00Mar 1, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMIran Strike on Israel by December 31?$20.39Mar 1, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar in March?$5.00Mar 1, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel in March?$5.00Mar 1, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?$50.00Mar 1, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$20.00Mar 1, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$3.23Mar 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$102.67Mar 1, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$103.00Feb 28, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$102.17Feb 28, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$69.00Feb 28, 20:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $47.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.