Joyous-Sign
0xdbae27c442ce1ff100396b5aa2758f060dd8a6f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$16.81
Total PnL
$-0.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will George Russell finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
2 shares @ 46.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$2.14
$1.14
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.00Jan 14, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 14, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$1.00Jan 14, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?$1.00Jan 14, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Jan 14, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$1.00Jan 14, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Dec 16, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Dec 16, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 16, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$1.00Nov 4, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Oct 14, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 14, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Aug 20, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $120000 on August 15?$1.00Aug 11, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Aug 1, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 06:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 10:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.