Itchy-Sympathy
0xdbcaee251ae39c721d874189f524487fde6c8346
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.73
Realised
$0.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
862 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-33.11
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
75 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.45
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
55 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 1?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
15 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
14 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.43
- YES
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 24, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UK strike Iran by March 31?$0.34Mar 24, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.02Mar 24, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$0.81Mar 24, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.87Mar 24, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$2.87Mar 24, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 4, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK strike Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 4, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.67Mar 4, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$3.22Mar 4, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$2.50Mar 4, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$5.00Mar 4, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$3.00Mar 4, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$2.00Mar 4, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.41Mar 4, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$16.40Mar 4, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.02Mar 3, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?$1.03Mar 3, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.25Mar 1, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 1?$2.25Mar 1, 21:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 10:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 07:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.