Knowing-Naturalisation
0xdbccddd35dd3982a683db8c778b40f8100ad8882
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-989.55
Realised
$24.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with South Korean president on August 25?
916 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-39.31
- NO
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
842 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-142.75
- NO
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?
449 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
393 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-165.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Turkey" 8+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?
236 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 7AM ET
199 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-32.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 6AM ET
195 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?
169 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-16.88
- NO
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (December 1 - 7)
155 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders say "Corruption" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?
121 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-40.94
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Nov 30, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 1 - 7)$41.13Nov 29, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (December 1 - 7)$60.00Nov 29, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$101.13Nov 29, 13:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Nov 29, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$104.28Nov 28, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?$20.14Sep 25, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Turkish president on September 25?$20.14Sep 25, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Turkish president on September 25?$31.91Sep 24, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?$20.00Sep 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Turkey" 8+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?$80.00Sep 24, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$131.91Sep 24, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$44.56Sep 5, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBayrou out as French PM by September 30?$2.67Sep 2, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Trump" during events with Polish president on September 3?$41.90Sep 2, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$34.59Aug 31, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Trump" during events with Polish president on September 3?$34.59Aug 31, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayrou out as French PM by September 30?$2.87Aug 28, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Yemen again by August 31?$2.87Aug 28, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump" during events with Polish president on September 3?$110.50Aug 27, 15:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $24.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 26, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".