Closed-Incandescence
0xdbd4be0b086dcef79f2bd28714645c4191f90365
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$7.06
Total PnL
$-165.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.02
$0.02
- NO
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- URSA
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Ursa (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs
272 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-165.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Phantom vs Ursa (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs$167.75Apr 10, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?$2.06Apr 10, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?$3.10Apr 10, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$5.00Apr 10, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?$3.00Mar 10, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?$3.00Mar 10, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$5.00Mar 10, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$1.73Mar 9, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on February 23?$4.04Mar 9, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?$5.38Mar 9, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on February 23?$4.00Feb 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?$5.00Feb 22, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?$4.00Feb 22, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?$2.00Feb 22, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.06Feb 22, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US lose jobs in January?$1.64Feb 22, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US lose jobs in January?$1.60Jan 29, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.00Jan 29, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$1.70Jan 29, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $18.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 02:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.