Noisy-Administration
0xdbdf4f47dbbe04dd9bf840c7dc3f2aa0b7ba8cb7
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$126.76
Total PnL
$-282.96
Realised
$0.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?
43 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$40.59
$1.09
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
45 shares @ 56.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.98
$-4.02
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.96
$0.96
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
21 shares @ 94.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.65
$0.65
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 44.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.43
$-1.57
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
10 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
769 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?
487 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$10.336d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by March 31?$20.006d ago
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$20.356d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Greenland by March 31?$20.886d ago
- REDEEMICE forced to unmask by February 28?$21.056d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?$21.516d ago
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$27.786d ago
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?$30.496d ago
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$34.486d ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$133.886d ago
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$268.926d ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$285.716d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?$39.9325d ago
- REDEEMGrok 4.20 released by February 28?$0.0066d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.0074d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.0074d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.0074d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$0.0076d ago
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$15.4476d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$15.4476d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $12.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 78d ago
- Last active
- 6d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.