Haunting-Refuge
0xdc0584a48d55d0c455792a7760d80c4708acfcd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$7.27
Total PnL
$-648.80
Realised
$90.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?
7 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$7.27
$3.27
- NO
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
50000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
1039 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-22.86
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
622 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-139.77
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
479 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-29.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
405 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-118.86
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?
333 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
125 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-68.28
- YES
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
121 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?$5.24Apr 1, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$4.80Apr 1, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?$6.00Apr 1, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?$4.00Apr 1, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?$4.00Apr 1, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?$4.00Apr 1, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$5.00Apr 1, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?$5.00Apr 1, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?$2.00Apr 1, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?$2.00Apr 1, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$32.45Apr 1, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Mar 24, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$35.47Mar 2, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$35.19Mar 2, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.00Feb 19, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$19.70Feb 18, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$3.00Feb 18, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.24Feb 18, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$10.00Feb 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$10.00Feb 18, 05:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $20.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 04:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 22:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.