Roasted-Sunshine
0xdc2761fd17a948d18fca8b04cb1f149a931b5bb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$98.10
Total PnL
$-16.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
98 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$98.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 22?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on December 3?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 23?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 20?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
650 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 4?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
496 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$98.00Jun 2, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$98.10Jun 2, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$98.01May 23, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$98.10May 23, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$98.00May 19, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?$98.10May 19, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?$98.00May 13, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$98.10May 13, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$98.01May 9, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$2.10May 9, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on May 5?$100.10May 9, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on May 5?$100.00May 5, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?$100.09May 5, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?$100.00Apr 27, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 24?$99.09Apr 27, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 24?$99.00Apr 24, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 19?$99.18Apr 24, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 19?$99.00Apr 18, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 16?$99.09Apr 18, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 16?$99.00Apr 15, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $94.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 07:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 12:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".