Humble-Plover
0xdc463547ab225e8dedee1dad121ca886c4825d2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$1.14
Total PnL
$-100.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$-0.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- WEIBO GAMING
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
30 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 29?$1.04Apr 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?$6.35Apr 28, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?$0.00Apr 28, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?$0.00Apr 28, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?$0.00Apr 28, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?$1.00Apr 27, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 9, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Lynx vs BALU (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs$1.00Apr 9, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs$1.00Apr 9, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.00Apr 9, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on April 9?$2.00Apr 8, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Mar 28, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$12.02Mar 26, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$1.00Mar 24, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.00Mar 24, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$6.00Mar 21, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Mar 21, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$0.00Mar 20, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.41Mar 20, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".