Wallet profile

Fluid-Deadline

0xdc4f08727c65afc4731b75cf1ed265666b7b4652

activity 87/100

Wallet digest

whale

Activity score

87/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

119

Open notional

$639.3K

Total PnL

$-33.8K

Realised

$-4.3K

Win rate

50%

14 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 119

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$52.2K

Trades

1

Buy share

73%

Window

Jun 10, 20:50 UTC → Jul 15, 06:07 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $0.00

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

27/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

PnL is mostly mark-to-market

Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

50% win rate over 14 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
review

36 live trades, 5 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

73%

Sample

limited

5 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

$24.2K · 46% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?46% of recorded volume$24.2KStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?25% of recorded volume$13.0KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?19% of recorded volume$10.0K

Profile dimensions

Activity67 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence47 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry18 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk70 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
36
Avg trade size
$531.37
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 23, 15:52 UTC
Last active
Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
Win rate sample
14 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 23:32:35 UTC·src:Polymarket Data