Sociable-Sofa
0xdc7b401bd91f6a86e8726e958b6298e48c0af131
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.45
Total PnL
$-10.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
French election called by December 31?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- NO
SBF released from custody in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
18 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-25?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?$1.00Nov 6, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?$1.00Nov 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?$1.00Nov 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Nov 6, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.19Nov 6, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?$1.00Nov 2, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.45Nov 2, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2025-10-25?$1.00Oct 24, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?$1.45Oct 24, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?$1.67Oct 24, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$1.00Oct 9, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by December 31?$1.00Oct 9, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$2.70Oct 9, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?$1.00Oct 5, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?$2.33Oct 4, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$1.00Sep 30, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams drop out?$1.69Sep 29, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$2.95Sep 26, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$1.00Sep 25, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1.00Sep 25, 20:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 05:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".