Well-Made-Guilder
0xdc89e3e248adafc704f10584441af41561a1095c
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
199
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-199.48
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 199- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 4?
8574 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-23.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 12?
5698 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 12?
4399 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 13?
3971 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-43.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 4?
2320 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on April 13?
2114 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-29.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on April 12?
1470 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.51
- BETBOOM TEAM
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 1?
1000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on March 31?
978 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.33
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$4.84Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.32Jun 21, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winner$0.63Jun 20, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Hermine Esports Club (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs$10.00Jun 20, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$9.99Jun 20, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLMajor League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Washington Freedom$15.98Jun 20, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMTürkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5$12.00Jun 20, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$174.00Jun 20, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$108.00Jun 20, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$193.00Jun 20, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$10.00Jun 20, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMTürkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half$5.00Jun 20, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMITF Tokyo: Naoki Nakagawa vs Jake Delaney$47.00Jun 20, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5$25.11Jun 20, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5$118.00Jun 20, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries$42.00Jun 20, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5$20.00Jun 20, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5$24.00Jun 20, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5$37.00Jun 20, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5$86.00Jun 20, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $9.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 03:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.