That-Chino
0xdca52ee5c45f7aea39610a75309a2d40e106e859
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$95.57
Total PnL
$3.0K
Realised
$3.9K
Win rate
85%
80 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
30 shares @ 44.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$30.50
$16.94
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
16 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.97
$2.24
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
34 shares @ 28.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.51
$-0.01
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
15 shares @ 51.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.85
$1.13
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
9 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.31
$-0.17
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
16 shares @ 37.4¢·now 43.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.85
$0.93
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.74
$0.75
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.55
$1.67
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
29 shares @ 68.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.15
$-14.85
- YES
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.14
$-19.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
77/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
85% win rate over 80 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
80 closed markets, 85% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 80 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.