Jolly-Pace
0xdce0267e7abc6509648921d4528dc0628bed7260
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$244.67
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-32.07
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
510 shares @ 43.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$196.35
$-22.95
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
58 shares @ 55.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.69
$14.79
- YES
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.98
$-0.06
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
12 shares @ 44.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-4.78
- YES
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
3 shares @ 17.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.13
$-0.38
- YES
Brex IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 9.1¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.08
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.01
$-0.02
- NO
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?
910 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-627.90
- YES
Will Trump say "Gold" during trophy presentation?
826 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.12
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?
507 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-182.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$5.60Apr 27, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$29.93Apr 27, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$248.97Apr 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$7.74Apr 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$41.34Apr 21, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLRevolut IPO before 2027?$532.44Apr 11, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLRevolut IPO before 2027?$656.85Apr 11, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$5.52Apr 11, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$84.00Apr 11, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRevolut IPO before 2027?$1.2KApr 10, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$0.41Apr 10, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$316.00Apr 10, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$15.07Apr 9, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$84.92Apr 9, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$68.09Apr 9, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$706.23Apr 9, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$40.81Apr 7, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$198.64Apr 7, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$730.17Apr 7, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$63.58Apr 7, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $221.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.