Shiny-Decency
0xdce25fb6a3be002952ac2e5aee5456fcad0f3c00
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$129.90
Total PnL
$2.27
Realised
$13.64
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 May 25-31?
19 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$18.90
$-0.10
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 81.6¢·now 86.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$18.08
$1.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?
18 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$18.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 25-31?
18 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$17.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.67
$-0.08
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$13.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.32
$-0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.86
$0.66
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
9 shares @ 86.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?$18.00May 28, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$20.00May 28, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 May 25-31?$19.00May 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 25-31?$18.01May 28, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$16.02May 28, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?$19.10May 28, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$20.02May 28, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$20.04May 28, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$20.00May 21, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$17.12May 21, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?$19.01May 21, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$20.00May 21, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$16.00May 21, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?$53.04May 21, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?$12.04May 21, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?$13.01May 21, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?$14.03May 21, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?$13.00May 13, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?$14.00May 13, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?$13.00May 13, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $20.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 03:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".