Gracious-Threshold
0xdd18babb444b0828b5e7cd58411b99da47daae0b
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$79.92
Total PnL
$-3.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
14 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$13.71
$0.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 4?
14 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$13.64
$-0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on May 4?
13 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$12.99
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 2?
12 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$12.00
$0.12
- NO
Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
12 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 4, 2026$11.75
$0.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 28?
10 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$9.99
$0.13
- NO
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
6 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$5.82
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on May 4?
13 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.01
$-0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 24?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 19°C on April 24?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 4?$13.7357m ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?$5.853h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 3?$12.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on May 4?$0.1310h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?$13.0711h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on May 4?$12.8816h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?$11.2018h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 2?$15.0018h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 3?$15.0022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 3?$0.1823h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 3?$11.8323h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 3?$0.181d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?$13.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 3?$14.832d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 2?$12.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?$0.262d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?$12.752d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 2?$0.242d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 2?$14.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 2?$0.142d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 57m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".