Upbeat-Sonnet
0xdd42e91c521fc4df1fe8cb8ac86744144099878d
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$54.33
Total PnL
$-346.92
Realised
$4.65
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
71 shares @ 70.9¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.33
$4.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8?
300 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-149.50
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 16?
240 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-23.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 24?
22 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 24?
22 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 15?
22 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 24?
21 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 23?
20 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 27?
20 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 16?
20 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-13.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$52.58Jun 22, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLPep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?$180.24May 18, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?$118.33May 17, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?$50.00Mar 10, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?$50.00Mar 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 7?$9.00Mar 6, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?$6.80Mar 4, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?$27.20Mar 4, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 4?$10.45Mar 4, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8?$82.00Mar 4, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 4?$7.95Mar 4, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?$35.50Mar 4, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 3?$14.00Mar 4, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8?$26.50Mar 4, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8?$41.00Mar 3, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 3?$12.46Mar 3, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 28?$16.01Mar 1, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 27?$16.88Mar 1, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$50.00Mar 1, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$424.99Mar 1, 21:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $26.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 15:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 10:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.