Unfit-Savior
0xdd5b6674807edf2d0efe615532aaa81b5a2fefbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
133
Open notional
$79.35
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-191.73
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
338 shares @ 29.6¢·now 20.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.27
$-29.73
- NO
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
40 shares @ 46.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.90
$-9.30
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.17
$-9.83
- NO
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?
1917 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1568 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
1490 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
953 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-418.00
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
860 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
839 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
714 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$134.55Jul 18, 22:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$188.67Jul 4, 03:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$153.71Jul 2, 01:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $44.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.