Periodic-Many
0xdd655efcb09de8d77fc20483abbc032028760f2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-56.22
Realised
$-5.15
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
2400 shares @ 84.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$217.00
- NO
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
2338 shares @ 66.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.6K
$75.35
- MEXICO
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
508 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-250.51
- YES
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
105 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-50.40
- NO
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
50 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-42.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$309.00Jul 12, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$252.67Jul 12, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 12, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$133.00Jul 12, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$101.97Jul 12, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMNorway to score first vs. England?$0.00Jul 12, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMNorway to score first vs. England?$65.00Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5$137.00Jul 11, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5$101.36Jul 11, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5$94.14Jul 11, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 1+ goals$51.71Jul 11, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5$103.28Jul 11, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway to score first vs. England?$26.12Jul 11, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals$9.99Jul 11, 13:32 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.00Jul 9, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$72.55Jul 8, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.01Jul 8, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.01Jul 8, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.05Jul 8, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.05Jul 8, 02:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $18.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 02:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 22:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.