Personal-Might
0xdda291631147f5ddbdef16209a410631f5b48588
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$24.56
Total PnL
$-87.08
Realised
$1.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
11 shares @ 93.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$10.00
$-0.00
- YES
Bayern Munich leading at halftime?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$9.41
$-0.59
- YES
Bayern Munich to win the second half?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$5.15
$-4.85
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
1031 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.10
- YES
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBayern Munich to win the second half?$10.01Jul 28, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayern Munich leading at halftime?$10.02Jul 28, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$10.03Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.67Jul 16, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.24Jul 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$10.18Jun 29, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 8, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 8, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 8, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 8, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win on 2026-06-07?$30.27Jun 7, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?$13.05Jun 7, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?$5.12Jun 7, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win on 2026-06-07?$10.20Jun 7, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$70.44Jun 7, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?$10.25Jun 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?$10.28Jun 7, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.00May 31, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.03May 30, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $15.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.