Watchful-Burnout
0xddc0364c0c282b656aff8a0e1f2120f8dd9e6f14
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-46.11
Realised
$-0.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 20?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Signing tonight?
325 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?
141 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?
82 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLDid a crypto hedge fund blow up?$0.66Feb 19, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Binance launch stock tokens in 2026?$2.34Feb 19, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?$3.00Feb 19, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$5.92Feb 19, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 8, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Feb 8, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDid a crypto hedge fund blow up?$1.00Feb 6, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Jerome Powell in January?$1.00Feb 1, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$9.97Jan 28, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$9.31Jan 28, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLLakers vs. Cavaliers$9.76Jan 28, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?$7.00Jan 28, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$10.00Jan 28, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 28, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Cavaliers$10.00Jan 28, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$10.00Jan 28, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 28, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?$108.00Jan 28, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.00Jan 27, 23:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 23:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".