Taut-Automaton
0xddd72c7b06c55a99e70ade830a021b6e58d40ecf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-907.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
11563 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-265.99
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1372 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-69.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
1307 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-121.49
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
1230 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
1095 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?
714 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
664 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
566 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$2.10Jul 19, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$5.24Jul 19, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?$10.50Jul 19, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?$5.24Jul 19, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$20.92Jul 19, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?$9.97Jul 19, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5$10.47Jul 19, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score$65.43Jul 19, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$3.07Jul 9, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$15.38Jul 9, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score$10.00Jul 9, 18:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Portugal vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$1.04Jul 6, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jul 6, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.90Jul 6, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 England?$10.29Jul 4, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?$10.28Jul 4, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 England?$10.27Jul 4, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?$10.27Jul 4, 19:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $10.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 23:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.