Fabulous-Clothing
0xddf6b8556091bd4299c4bffa32e59e31188d6b37
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$10.28
Total PnL
$-19.60
Realised
$11.88
Win rate
53%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
23 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.46
$0.11
- YES
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
16 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.35
$0.08
- YES
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.32
$-0.12
- YES
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
58 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.43
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?
4 shares @ 5.0¢·now 20.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.88
$0.67
- YES
DAI depeg by December 31?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
10 shares @ 7.1¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.68
$-0.03
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
20 shares @ 2.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.66
$0.27
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
16 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.34
- YES
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by July 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.29
$-1.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?$0.25Jul 29, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?$1.20Jul 29, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by July 31?$0.49Jul 29, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by July 31?$0.05Jul 29, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 28, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $20B?$0.02Jul 28, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $20B?$0.14Jul 28, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$0.84Jul 28, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?$0.24Jul 28, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?$0.31Jul 28, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLYevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?$0.12Jul 28, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31?$0.13Jul 28, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?$0.03Jul 28, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?$0.06Jul 28, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLHengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.02Jul 28, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?$0.42Jul 27, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.40Jul 27, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$0.80Jul 27, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?$0.46Jul 27, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?$0.17Jul 27, 15:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
30 closed markets, 53% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 18:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.