Scholarly-Carving
0xde036107d06bca67e62592b3fb1f1eba153de629
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-124.67
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
124 shares @ 83.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$92.38
$-10.54
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
100 shares @ 95.4¢·now 88.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$88.45
$-6.95
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
100 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$78.50
$0.50
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
100 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$67.50
$1.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 43.5¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$67.00
$-20.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 73.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.50
$-10.50
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?
107 shares @ 57.3¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$59.55
$-1.98
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 30.6¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.01
$-8.16
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 27.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$49.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$34.008m ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$22.0036m ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?$3.381h ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?$2.002h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?$3.542h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?$57.542h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$24.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$16.442h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$66.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$78.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$95.402h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$0.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$0.652h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$0.682h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$0.662h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$0.682h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$0.702h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$0.682h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$0.672h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$0.682h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $58.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 8m ago
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
