Vital-Disability
0xde179d0548aa72299434d92d94eb748da9cbbdfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$3.31
Total PnL
$-993.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.10
$0.00
- NO
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.10
$0.00
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.10
$-0.00
- YES
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
8 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
17000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4100 and $4200 on September 5 at 4PM ET?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will KrF win the second most seats in the Norway election?
1510 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.51
- YES
Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
1459 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.03Jul 1, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.52Jun 30, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$1.33Jun 29, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.52Jun 28, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.10Jun 26, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$1.33Jun 25, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$1.00Jun 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.10Jun 19, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$1.00Jun 16, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.03Jun 14, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottish Green Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$2.00May 9, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?$2.75May 2, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.20May 1, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.77May 1, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.60 in April?$1.72May 1, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.21May 1, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.20Apr 30, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?$1.10Apr 30, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.20Apr 29, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.77Apr 28, 23:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 20:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.