Woozy-Trapdoor
0xde1becca656d510066eb76224fbb4c14f881ccc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$2.9K
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
17222 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-124.98
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
16734 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
6437 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
5500 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-99.49
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?
3500 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-334.99
- RAFAEL JODAR
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev
3220 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-299.79
- YES
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
3047 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-155.01
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
2234 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
1976 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Chile end in a draw?
1810 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-108.60
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.14Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.44Jul 8, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$1.4KJul 7, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$84.00Jul 7, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$336.00Jul 7, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Egypt (-1.5)$2.59Jul 7, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Egypt (-1.5)$1.00Jul 7, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Egypt (-1.5)$1.00Jul 7, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Egypt (-1.5)$913.40Jul 7, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Egypt (-1.5)$37.84Jul 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Egypt (-1.5)$503.36Jul 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Egypt (-1.5)$65.28Jul 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Egypt (-1.5)$64.67Jul 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Egypt (-1.5)$8.84Jul 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$512.00Jul 7, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$504.00Jul 7, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Belgium (-1.5)$100.00Jul 7, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$2.5KJul 6, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$330.82Jul 6, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$383.99Jul 6, 01:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $323.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.