Watchful-Glasses
0xde2ccad75f345f45d2efc985d332b8214471dc68
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$10.1K
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
13400 shares @ 96.8¢·now 75.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$10.1K
$-2.8K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
11629 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-337.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?
1010 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-999.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 12?
523 shares @ 95.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-498.85
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on April 14?
476 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-47.75
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?
331 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-160.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$13.0KJun 11, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.2KJun 4, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.1KMay 18, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.9KMay 17, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$575.54May 4, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$300.90Apr 27, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?$657.61Apr 27, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$1.9KApr 23, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?$422.10Apr 22, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?$164.49Apr 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$315.17Apr 17, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$269.90Apr 17, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$350.00Apr 16, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$183.60Apr 16, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$2.03Apr 16, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$237.55Apr 16, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$3.35Apr 16, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on April 14?$50.00Apr 14, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$1.1KApr 14, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$1.0KApr 13, 19:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 09:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 03:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.