Several-Scarf
0xde33049b8379e4ba198498bce2394e17792646d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.83
Total PnL
$-6.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- NO
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
1 shares @ 80.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Boeing at fault for South Korea plane crash?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 4?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$1.01May 3, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$1.00May 3, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$1.09May 3, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.15May 3, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.32May 3, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8AM ET$1.44May 3, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.00Apr 4, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8AM ET$1.00Apr 4, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMBased FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.59Apr 4, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Mar 14, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 14, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$1.01Mar 14, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMAntalya 2: Katarzyna Kawa vs Tamara Zidansek$1.12Mar 14, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAntalya 2: Katarzyna Kawa vs Tamara Zidansek$1.00Mar 6, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$1.00Mar 6, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$1.00Mar 6, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Sofiivka by February 28?$1.27Mar 6, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 24, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.57Feb 24, 00:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 09:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".