Remarkable-Occupation
0xde51accca6b555fa533d1de6cb8486ee4672fb56
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$34.69
Total PnL
$-8.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
32 shares @ 90.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.63
$2.54
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 22?
161 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$3.06
$1.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 15?
114 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.76
- NO
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
101 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.54
- NO
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?
41 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
40 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 22?$2.01Jun 22, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$29.09Jun 8, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$35.00Jun 2, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$27.00May 27, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.98May 25, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$26.14May 25, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?$0.27May 22, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?$1.02May 22, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?$0.06May 22, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$43.00May 20, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?$4.72May 18, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$40.51May 18, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$43.00May 17, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 15?$3.94May 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2.89May 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.83May 13, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$37.52May 13, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$56.49May 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$56.14May 13, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$25.57May 12, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $26.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 04:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.