Competent-Monasticism
0xde65b1511c46b561e394e3c897f1a14367ebeea5
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$8.1K
Total PnL
$-138.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3000 shares @ 80.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$285.00
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 84.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$142.99
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
1409 shares @ 78.3¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$44.18
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$925.00
$75.00
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1000 shares @ 72.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$765.00
$45.00
- NO
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
646 shares @ 82.5¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$555.38
$22.83
- NO
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?
200 shares @ 75.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$150.00
$0.00
- NO
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
39 shares @ 22.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.04
$6.56
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?
547 shares @ 85.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-466.86
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.16Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI data center in space by December 31, 2027?$151.50Jul 19, 14:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $250.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.