Mushy-Writing
0xde81caed83c06d89601e26f2994809d6e701a940
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$203.11
Total PnL
$-0.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
43 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.48
$13.48
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.90
$13.90
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
33 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$33.33
$3.33
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$22.73
$2.73
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
18 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.36
$1.36
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$15.64
$5.79
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
14 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$14.28
$7.43
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.25
$2.33
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
11 shares @ 89.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$11.15
$1.19
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
3539 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.00Apr 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$10.00Apr 5, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$10.00Apr 5, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$10.00Apr 5, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$7.00Apr 5, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$15.00Apr 5, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20.00Apr 2, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$15.00Apr 2, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$30.00Apr 2, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$30.00Apr 2, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$20.00Apr 2, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$30.00Apr 2, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$0.00Apr 1, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$0.00Apr 1, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$0.00Apr 1, 16:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $19.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.