OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Probability

11¢

-1.0pp

24h

-14.0pp

24h Vol

$4.3K

Liquidity

$7.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

-9.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:12

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 118.8h
LOW
01:13Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 119h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
01:12Price
Probability down -12.5pp
to 11¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 13¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability down -11.5pp
to 13¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability down -13.0pp
to 11¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -11.5pp
to 12¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -13.5pp
to 11¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -10.5pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability down -9.0pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 24¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
07:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -8.5pp
to 24¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 24¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 6.0pp
to 24¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 7.5pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 7.0pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 7.5pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 25¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 24¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 24¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 24¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 25¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 25¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 25¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same event3rd largest company end of April?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Apr 30, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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