Weird-Veneer
0xde996e410aa27dd779585ff265eb8ae9522b872a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$19.92
Total PnL
$-54.11
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?
13 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$12.46
$-0.03
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
7 shares @ 95.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.47
$0.19
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 16?
4280 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-18.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 26?
1075 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 26?
1069 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 18?
1068 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 20?
1066 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 4?
1061 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 5?
1061 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?$12.48Jul 18, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$12.48Jul 10, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$12.44Jul 8, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $305 Week of June 29 2026?$12.45Jul 2, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $305 Week of June 29 2026?$12.41Jul 1, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 22 above $120?$12.40Jun 26, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 22 above $120?$12.36Jun 21, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28?$1.1KMay 29, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28?$1.1KMay 28, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 21?$2.11May 21, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 13?$2.12May 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 6?$3.18May 6, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$6.28May 3, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 26?$2.14Apr 27, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 18?$1.07Apr 18, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 16?$1.1KApr 17, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 16?$1.1KApr 16, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on April 15?$1.1KApr 16, 08:29 UTC
- REWARD$0.16Apr 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on April 15?$1.1KApr 15, 05:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $237.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 11:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.