Tinted-Fog
0xdeac26bb8a787a50619b93761eec5803a3bc867a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$53.12
Total PnL
$-497.07
Realised
$0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C or below on March 19?
25 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$24.95
$0.07
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
9 shares @ 78.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.00
$1.96
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
9 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$8.69
$0.53
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.48
$0.04
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$0.20
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. 76ers
3333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C or below on March 19?$24.88Mar 18, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$24.87Mar 18, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$8.16Mar 10, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$4.80Mar 10, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$7.04Mar 10, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$20.00Mar 10, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$30.19Feb 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$19.96Feb 28, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$50.15Feb 28, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$50.00Jan 5, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?$653.47Jan 4, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?$652.16Dec 31, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$50.00Dec 30, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$593.48Dec 30, 06:03 UTC
- REWARD$2.12Dec 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$80.00Dec 28, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$528.90Dec 28, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$24.48Dec 28, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?$508.27Dec 28, 08:35 UTC
- REWARD$8.12Dec 28, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $154.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.