Incredible-Uncertainty
0xdeb09ca00c2b75bd1d241b9237e0ce6dadef62b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$63.67
Total PnL
$36.09
Realised
$0.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 18?
195 shares @ 5.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$52.52
$42.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?
33 shares @ 19.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$11.15
$4.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 12?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 10?
178 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?
20 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 18?$9.73May 16, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?$18.82May 16, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?$6.48May 15, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?$10.15May 15, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?$16.41May 15, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?$4.42May 14, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?$6.22May 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?$0.17May 14, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?$0.19May 14, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?$6.52May 14, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?$1.96May 14, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?$2.00May 13, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?$4.16May 13, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$0.63May 13, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$0.15May 12, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$0.50May 12, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$0.37May 12, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$0.50May 12, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$0.04May 12, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?$0.53May 12, 10:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 20:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 05:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".