Hasty-Baker
0xdeb95e046d96f4c744901d3882d5e87be2401cb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$379.95
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
38000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-491.57
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
27938 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-142.96
- YES
Will Trump resign today?
5036 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4559 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-225.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?
3186 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2025$0.00
$-67.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
2849 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2427 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-243.00
- NO
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
2413 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-265.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
2222 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2121 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-21.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$10.00Apr 12, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$10.00Feb 24, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$40.00Feb 24, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$55.00Feb 24, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$10.00Feb 10, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$10.00Jan 3, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$29.00Jan 3, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$50.00Jan 2, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$54.00Dec 25, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 all time high by December 31?$265.00Dec 24, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$124.00Dec 8, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$55.00Dec 8, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$116.00Nov 28, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$24.00Nov 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$83.00Nov 24, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$127.00Nov 24, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$38.85Nov 21, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #2 searched person on Google this year?$133.00Nov 17, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$91.60Nov 14, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$53.00Nov 5, 12:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $100.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 11:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".