Beneficial-Curio
0xded8c47ec78f714d0be7314e0d72eb24f537d5eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$275.23
Total PnL
$51.45
Realised
$101.21
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
89 shares @ 77.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$83.12
$14.05
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
100 shares @ 63.5¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$73.50
$9.99
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
120 shares @ 16.1¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.20
$2.90
- YES
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?
315 shares @ 8.2¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$18.90
$-7.00
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$11.17
$1.17
- YES
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?
12 shares @ 72.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$10.98
$2.34
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 35.3¢·now 34.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.59
$-0.24
- YES
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.75
$-0.25
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 26.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.69
$-1.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$5.10Jul 2, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$18.50Jul 2, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$8.90Jul 2, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$9.00Jul 2, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$11.83Jul 2, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.67Jul 2, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$18.00Jul 2, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$23.25Jul 2, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?$2.50Jul 2, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$14.65Jul 2, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$18.00Jul 2, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$8.60Jul 2, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2.06Jul 2, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.10Jul 2, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 2, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09Jul 2, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Canada be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.77Jul 2, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.75Jul 2, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.25Jul 2, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.11Jul 2, 04:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 17:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.