Loving-Polliwog
0xdedd9e1cd575493a766861d97efa207d2cc9deb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$451.25
Total PnL
$-122.50
Realised
$-57.15
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?
501 shares @ 91.3¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$451.25
$-6.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on April 23?
68 shares @ 66.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-45.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 23?
5 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 24?
5 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 24?
5 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 22?
5 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 21?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 24?
5 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 24?
5 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on April 23?
5 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$10.05May 16, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$10.05May 16, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$10.05May 16, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$5.36May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$10.04May 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$8.03May 16, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$10.03May 16, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$10.03May 16, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$10.04May 16, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$36.17May 16, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$200.49May 16, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$100.55May 16, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$13.20May 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$25.28May 16, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14?$20.28May 14, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14?$20.01May 12, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 8?$5.00May 9, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 8?$4.04May 7, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?$2.66Apr 28, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 27?$5.00Apr 28, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $26.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 02:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 11:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".