0xdee1a57c9246bc6b56ddb7a194fc37c004a738cc
0xdee1a57c9246bc6b56ddb7a194fc37c004a738cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$26.87
Total PnL
$-6.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$10.70
$0.70
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$2.70
$1.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
6 shares @ 16.9¢·now 16.3¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
5 shares @ 20.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$2.08Jun 24, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$1.06Jun 24, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$5.26Jun 23, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jun 22, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$10.55Jun 22, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$1.06Jun 22, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$0.00Jun 22, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 22, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Jun 22, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1AM ET$2.00Jun 22, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.04Jun 22, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$5.20Jun 22, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?$1.08Jun 22, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$1.07Jun 22, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$1.07Jun 22, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$1.07Jun 22, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.04Jun 22, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$31.84Jun 22, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$17.68Jun 22, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1AM ET$1.07Jun 22, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $6.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 17:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 19:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.