Guilty-Directory
0xdef4a793b89c7827b8f0a3a060d7a7d61e1e00ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.09
Total PnL
$-215.11
Realised
$4.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 60.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.09
$-4.51
- YES
Will Jake Paul be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
500 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
250 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
170 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-99.50
- YES
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
150 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-13.50
- YES
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
150 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?
85 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
30 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$5.51May 10, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$1.08May 8, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$13.50Feb 25, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$12.00Feb 25, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$7.00Feb 25, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$6.39Feb 25, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$15.00Feb 25, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.02Feb 25, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$9.60Feb 25, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$2.10Feb 25, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?$21.60Feb 17, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?$20.16Feb 16, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?$22.50Dec 12, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies UFO files before 2027?$19.00Dec 7, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$19.00Dec 7, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies UFO files before 2027?$10.00Dec 7, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?$21.00Dec 3, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?$29.45Dec 3, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?$0.47Dec 3, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?$1.58Dec 3, 13:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $15.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".