Colorless-Employee
0xdf0055ba9fea2a06b11ba1e79aab1b77b5bf52fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$383.68
Total PnL
$-196.56
Realised
$-1.50
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
317 shares @ 65.6¢·now 65.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$207.36
$-0.44
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
123 shares @ 82.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.85
$16.44
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
75 shares @ 58.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.47
$14.47
- DOWN
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 6?
162 shares @ 83.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-135.00
- UP
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 5?
104 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-69.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
15 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.05
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$156.54Jun 27, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?$0.36May 18, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?$26.10May 18, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?$26.60May 16, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?$25.06May 15, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?$24.15May 15, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?$9.04May 15, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?$10.12May 15, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.87May 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$3.65May 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$2.70May 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$3.83May 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$26.24May 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.16May 14, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.15May 14, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.14May 14, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?$20.06May 14, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?$175.85May 14, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?$7.11May 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?$183.23May 14, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $67.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 22:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.