Polite-Stepgrandmother
0xdf181f987463ef4f6ea76b94f405271143d9af99
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-205.12
Realised
$4.60
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 15?
501 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$499.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2402 shares @ 15.8¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$399.92
$19.92
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3604 shares @ 8.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$380.25
$75.61
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
313 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$309.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
299 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$276.86
$1.86
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1432 shares @ 16.9¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$229.91
$-12.19
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 14?
200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$200.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
204 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$199.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2288 shares @ 8.8¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$179.64
$-22.58
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1844 shares @ 10.8¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$177.97
$-22.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$20.19Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$25.69Jun 13, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$20.54Jun 13, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$25.35Jun 13, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$45.45Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $110 on June 13?$250.46Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $110 on June 15?$500.08Jun 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5$20.33Jun 13, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$20.26Jun 13, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$40.82Jun 13, 05:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$20.34Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $110 on June 12?$811.72Jun 12, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$30.15Jun 12, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$20.25Jun 12, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$20.25Jun 12, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$20.22Jun 12, 11:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$28.57Jun 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$19.33Jun 11, 22:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $63.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.