Diligent-Scenario
0xdf273e0fe72a613b27de588aaa5237f3b76ae6e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$14.2K
Total PnL
$-737.22
Realised
$-1.0K
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4300 shares @ 92.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.0K
$42.67
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
2100 shares @ 92.4¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$11.16
- NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
1434 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$27.00
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
1550 shares @ 88.7¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$35.67
- NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
1424 shares @ 93.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.4K
$25.91
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
1035 shares @ 92.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$988.01
$33.87
- NO
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
671 shares @ 87.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$607.29
$18.59
- NO
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
346 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$342.12
$3.37
- NO
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
370 shares @ 84.5¢·now 90.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$336.45
$23.65
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
340 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$287.51
$8.51
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$985.00Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$961.03Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.99Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.99Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.99Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.99Jun 13, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$6.24Jun 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$92.25Jun 13, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$44.28Jun 13, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$89.00Jun 13, 02:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.55Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$39.11Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?$48.00Jun 12, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$50.00Jun 12, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$267.00Jun 12, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$267.00Jun 12, 21:35 UTC
- MERGEWill China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?$800.00Jun 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?$8.00Jun 12, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?$24.00Jun 12, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?$15.00Jun 12, 19:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $144.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.