Diligent-Scenario
0xdf273e0fe72a613b27de588aaa5237f3b76ae6e4
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.2K
Total PnL
$508.75
Realised
$418.79
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
3620 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.5K
$24.51
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
3200 shares @ 93.5¢·now 95.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.1K
$68.08
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1272 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$979.45
$-13.27
- NO
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
210 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$203.20
$2.33
- NO
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?
200 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$199.70
$0.10
- NO
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
224 shares @ 82.1¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.75
$1.97
- NO
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
47 shares @ 89.6¢·now 94.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$44.49
$2.09
- NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
31 shares @ 89.6¢·now 94.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$29.11
$1.37
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
19 shares @ 74.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.78
$2.42
- YES
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
184 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.66
$0.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$190.601h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?$199.605h ago
- MERGEWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$39.917h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$39.317h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$29.388h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.018h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$164.008h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$196.5010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill a US ally get a nuke before 2027?$4.4010h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$19.2811h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$57.8411h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$115.6811h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$162.4018h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$29.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$191.3018h ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$14.2718h ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$39.6018h ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$44.2518h ago
- REWARD$12.4119h ago
- REWARD$0.1819h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $130.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.