Wilted-Pinafore
0xdf3d559f6d47c87ef3a2ab9f6ea9ae461f0c9274
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$161.88
Total PnL
$-141.65
Realised
$25.59
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
568 shares @ 26.4¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$96.58
$-53.41
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$47.12
$-2.88
- YES
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027?
87 shares @ 57.8¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$18.18
$-31.82
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 11?
254 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 18?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 18?
191 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
93 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 3?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 18?
69 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 18?
63 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $50.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.