Failing-School
0xdf567db8afb9a60784a5fa255b7b0291769a694c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$21.02
Total PnL
$-75.72
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.59
$0.59
- YES
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.55
$-1.85
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-4.01
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
204 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
70 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
37 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-21.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
20 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$10.12Jun 14, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$2.04Jun 14, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$20.63Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$8.09Jun 13, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$5.06Jun 13, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$21.95Jun 11, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$21.74Jun 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$15.14Jun 8, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$15.00May 3, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$12.00Apr 21, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00Apr 19, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$9.62Apr 19, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.00Mar 20, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$5.00Mar 15, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.00Mar 2, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.00Mar 1, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.10Feb 25, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Cocaine" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.20Feb 25, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.37Feb 25, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 01:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.