Euphoric-Rehospitalization
0xdf7271e647329715ac99567f87fa83844fdf8c89
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$6.22
Total PnL
$-25.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
6 shares @ 81.3¢·now 84.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on October 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in October?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
54 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BENGALS
Bengals vs. Broncos
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- JETS
Jets vs. Dolphins
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1.10Jul 20, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$32.24Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.02Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Jun 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jun 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.02Jun 25, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. San Francisco Giants$2.01Jun 25, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.05Jun 25, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$20.51Jun 25, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.12Jun 17, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 15?$4.08May 16, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 15?$5.02May 15, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 15?$8.22May 15, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on May 15?$2.30May 15, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or higher on May 15?$4.21May 15, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$2.11May 14, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or higher on May 15?$4.01May 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 15?$4.00May 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15?$1.03May 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on May 15?$2.01May 14, 11:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $7.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 05:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 13:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.