0xdf8e25e6cab6e6406173ab6689898de9c1ad6284
0xdf8e25e6cab6e6406173ab6689898de9c1ad6284
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$22.68
Total PnL
$-64.91
Realised
$-4.09
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
40 shares @ 30.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$15.02
$3.03
- YES
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.00
$4.98
- YES
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
20 shares @ 19.3¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.57
$-3.29
- YES
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
20 shares @ 7.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.37
$-1.21
- YES
Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
7 shares @ 0.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.17
$0.15
- YES
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
6 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.04
$-0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 2?
465 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-23.71
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 31?
381 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 2°C on January 5?
299 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-24.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 5?$13.00Jan 6, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 2°C on January 5?$2.79Jan 5, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 2°C on January 5?$1.20Jan 5, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 2°C on January 5?$1.40Jan 5, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 2°C on January 5?$2.40Jan 5, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 2°C on January 5?$2.40Jan 5, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 2°C on January 5?$1.60Jan 5, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 2°C on January 5?$0.40Jan 5, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 5?$12.35Jan 5, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 2°C on January 5?$8.95Jan 5, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 2°C on January 5?$3.54Jan 5, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 0°C on January 3?$2.47Jan 4, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 2?$31.12Jan 4, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 0°C on January 3?$2.47Jan 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 2?$5.00Jan 2, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 2?$5.00Jan 2, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 2?$1.21Jan 2, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 2?$5.00Jan 2, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 2?$5.00Jan 2, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 2?$30.81Jan 2, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $11.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 03:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".