Hasty-Billion
0xdf9e329ff4100e2d33ab3dff2ef1dd8b0c95c158
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$2.00
Total PnL
$0.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$0.82Apr 16, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$1.54Apr 16, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?$1.42Apr 16, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?$0.00Apr 16, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$1.08Apr 16, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?$1.66Apr 16, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?$1.95Apr 16, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$0.76Apr 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$1.00Apr 15, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$0.80Apr 15, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$1.12Apr 15, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?$1.02Apr 15, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 15?$0.00Apr 15, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?$0.95Apr 15, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$1.02Apr 15, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$1.47Apr 15, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$0.84Apr 15, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$1.12Apr 15, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?$1.10Apr 15, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?$2.91Apr 15, 09:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 15:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.